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US Ethanol Producers’ Losses Are The Greatest in Over 5 Years. | US Ethanol Producers’ Losses Are The Greatest in Over 5 Years. – AgResource Company

US Ethanol Producers’ Losses Are The Greatest in Over 5 Years.

Dec 13, 7:38 am

Summary: US ethanol production fell 2.2% this past week. Slightly more than expectations.  It is estimated that blender demand was up about 1.5%.  Ethanol stocks last week shrank about 0.6%.  Ethanol producer margins set new lows.  The futures-based producer margin dropped to $-0.287/Bu this week. That is the biggest loss since mid-Jul 2013.    Blender margins are low but at least are still profitable. The spread between Brazilian and US ethanol prices widen this week but remains well below a year ago.  In the Dec WASDE, USDA lowered their projection for corn grind by 50 Mil Bu to 5,600 Mil Bu.

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US ethanol production through the week ending last Friday totaled 308 million gallons, down 6 Mil from the previous week. A year ago, production was 320 Mil.

 

 

Ethanol stocks last week totaled 961 million gallons, down 6 million from the previous week but up 2% from last year.

 

 

When expressed as a percent of use, ethanol stocks/use are about average.

 

 

US motor gasoline inventories are up slightly.  As of last Friday, stocks totaled 228 million barrels vs 226 Mil last week and were up 1% from last year.

 

 

US crude inventories were 442 million barrels vs. 443 million a week ago but were unchanged from last year.

 

 

The futures-based ethanol crush margin is displayed above.

 

 

The futures-based blenders’ margin is displayed above.

 

 

The spread between Brazilian and US ethanol FOB prices widen last week, but is well below a year ago.